Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab69d1395ba9f5aa2d3b15bd168513f14f79f32080ea109553b02f5a272f4cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maneiroof Bencic, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Bencic | 65c | 2,500$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.5 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Maneiro | 35c | 1,816$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.4 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Maneiro | 47c | 741.92$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Bencic | 61c | 690.2$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bencic | 4c | 634.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Maneiro | 40c | 617.43$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maneiro | 35c | 400$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bencic | 46c | 368.32$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.93 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Maneiro | 36c | 343.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.43 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Maneiro | 35c | 271.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.43 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Bencic | 46c | 179.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Bencic | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Bencic | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Maneiro | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Maneiro | 79c | 87.72$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maneiro | 37c | 75.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Bencic | 38c | 58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Bencic | 32c | 55.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Bencic | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 277 | 55.6%154 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Bencic | 61c | 48.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…1c7dbacked Bencic | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Bencic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Bencic | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maneiro | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Bencic | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Bencic | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bencic | 61c | 20.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Bencic | 60c | 19.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bencic (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)this page
- Bencic vs. Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBencic won
- Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs ManeiroManeiro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.