Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Pedro Sakamoto vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x063f110f08e8a22d806225c2e9b6ffc6539f09b21e31b16212d5d6ce9d62d7bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joverof Sakamoto, Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sakamoto | 39c | 588.79$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.53 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sakamoto | 43c | 401.63$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.93 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sakamoto | 17c | 331.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Jover | 59c | 331.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sakamoto | 36c | 299.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Jover | 71c | 244$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sakamoto | 7c | 224.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Jover | 61c | 194.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Jover | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sakamoto | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Jover | 77c | 129.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Jover | 66c | 126$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sakamoto | 23c | 108$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jover | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Jover | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Jover | 62c | 95.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Sakamoto | 38c | 91.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jover | 57c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Sakamoto | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Jover | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Jover | 63c | 75.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Sakamoto | 25c | 71.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sakamoto | 25c | 67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Jover | 60c | 65.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.33 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jover | 61c | 57.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sakamoto | 40c | 55.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jover | 67c | 49.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Sakamoto | 36c | 43.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Jover | 61c | 38.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Jover | 57c | 31.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Jover | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Jover | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sakamoto | 43c | 30.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Jover | 63c | 16.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.