Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Yasmine Mansouri vs Matilde Jorge
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4d3e70139da597fbdd697350f410bde1791c0c6cdecd5dd4252174176e3218d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jorgeof Mansouri, Jorge
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jorge | 63c | 1,028$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.42 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mansouri | 51c | 607$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.26 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Mansouri | 36c | 583.5$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.76 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mansouri | 14c | 382.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Jorge | 55c | 364.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.55 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jorge | 64c | 351.59$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jorge | 59c | 337.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Mansouri | 41c | 336$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mansouri | 38c | 316$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.18 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mansouri | 45c | 314.55$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.55 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mansouri | 20c | 303.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Mansouri | 26c | 280$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Mansouri | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jorge | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mansouri | 34c | 211$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Mansouri | 8c | 209.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mansouri | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Jorge | 71c | 183.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Jorge | 49c | 157.04$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mansouri | 21c | 150.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Jorge | 74c | 134.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Jorge | 66c | 133.94$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mansouri | 43c | 119.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mansouri | 23c | 113.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jorge | 73c | 105.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.87 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jorge | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Mansouri | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mansouri | 30c | 98.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mansouri | 34c | 74.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Jorge | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…2291backed Jorge | 75c | 64.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Mansouri | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Mansouri | 33c | 59.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7189backed Jorge | 53c | 58.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mansouri | 38c | 58.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Mansouri | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Jorge | 64c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Jorge | 67c | 38.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jorge | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mansouri | 29c | 35.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Jorge | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Jorge | 59c | 28.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jorge | 69c | 27.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Jorge | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Jorge | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…002bbacked Jorge | 66c | 21.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Mansouri | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jorge | 77c | 20.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.