Tennis · resolved market
Tigre: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Miguel Damas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c3cf50545197c09f575e44b23f77d470b92c3c8c6b329679d846e0057a71931
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zarateof Zarate, Damas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Zarate | 29c | 3,097$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.34 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zarate | 17c | 2,091$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.38 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Damas | 46c | 533.37$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.88 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Damas | 50c | 450.95$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.91 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Zarate | 11c | 375$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.67 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Damas | 66c | 360$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zarate | 17c | 354.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.64 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zarate | 55c | 330$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Zarate | 19c | 247$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.69 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Damas | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 492 | 50.6%249 W · 243 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Zarate | 11c | 180.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.58 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Damas | 78c | 153.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Damas | 69c | 145.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zarate | 29c | 134.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Damas | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Zarate | 23c | 129.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Damas | 75c | 109$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Damas | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Damas | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Damas | 72c | 95.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Damas | 66c | 90.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Zarate | 34c | 82.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zarate | 21c | 74.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Damas | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Zarate | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Zarate | 61c | 49.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Damas | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Damas | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.