Tennis · resolved market
Lille: August Holmgren vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa8d7e545d4b5f143a2451d839e175a61c45c750cdbd52d28a12f086bab3d34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gueymard-Wayenburgof Holmgren, Gueymard-Wayenburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Holmgren | 0c | 3,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Holmgren | 0c | 3,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Holmgren | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 73c | 1,752$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Holmgren | 34c | 997.89$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Holmgren | 40c | 519.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.42 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 504.22$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.52 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…75cbbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 65c | 459.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 451.67$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Holmgren | 38c | 319.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Holmgren | 31c | 302.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Holmgren | 40c | 278.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…8b12backed Holmgren | 10c | 203$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Holmgren | 18c | 201$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Holmgren | 27c | 198.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Holmgren | 14c | 194.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Holmgren | 13c | 168.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Holmgren | 12c | 153.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 121.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Holmgren | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Holmgren | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Holmgren | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Holmgren | 38c | 74.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…9359backed Holmgren | 40c | 72.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Holmgren | 39c | 71.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 61c | 69.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Holmgren | 29c | 62.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 55.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…5796backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 53.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Holmgren | 29c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Holmgren | 32c | 38.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 31.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 63c | 27.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Gueymard-Wayenburg | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Gueymard-Wayenburg | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lille: August Holmgren vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgthis page
- Holmgren vs. Gueymard-Wayenburg: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.