Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaaf79f60874310cc3988b2d187aac9e6da69bf8bac6ac667f3cff0742ec629a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Navy Midshipmen, Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $895,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,316,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $895,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Navy Midshipmen | 56c | 424,370$236,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187,430.58 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 209,999$92,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,399.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 70,000$30,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,800 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 61,500$27,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,235 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 26,646$12,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,443.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 20,000$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,900 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 19,000$8,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.6 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 10,387$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,631.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 48c | 6,153$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.21 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 5,120$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.1 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 4,156$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.08 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.88 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 793.03$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 470.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 377.76$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 361.11$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.11 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 321.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 277.93$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.51 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 211.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 198.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 46c | 122.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Navy Midshipmen | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 46c | 107.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 46c | 99.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Navy Midshipmen | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0682…fd43backed Navy Midshipmen | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 49c | 28.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)this page
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsNavy Midshipmen won
- Navy Midshipmen vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: O/U 146.5Under won
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-7.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.