Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef430a64b6143ca81dd197eaa10bcd5c8e4aa07a46d63cacfa3bd4b511c5d8d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kordaof Korda, McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked McDonald | 37c | 2,451$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce6…2e69backed Korda | 63c | 1,589$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked McDonald | 41c | 1,256$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.53 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea3…b910backed Korda | 60c | 1,255$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.65 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed McDonald | 40c | 517.01$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed McDonald | 41c | 474.14$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fd…abf9backed Korda | 62c | 459.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…a8adbacked Korda | 60c | 331.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…64d9backed Korda | 59c | 263.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a1…403ebacked Korda | 63c | 239.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed McDonald | 15c | 222.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked McDonald | 39c | 198.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed McDonald | 25c | 197.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…e82bbacked Korda | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…6be5backed Korda | 59c | 169.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7c…3a6abacked Korda | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x346a…892bbacked Korda | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…c983backed Korda | 61c | 164.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…bb45backed Korda | 59c | 136.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Korda | 60c | 134.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed McDonald | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -11.0wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked McDonald | 40c | 86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed McDonald | 23c | 82.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Korda | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed McDonald | 36c | 77.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed McDonald | 41c | 72.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d2…0af8backed Korda | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7c…1439backed McDonald | 28c | 62.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed McDonald | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed McDonald | 42c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…9664backed Korda | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979b…dd0abacked Korda | 58c | 34.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed McDonald | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed McDonald | 43c | 27.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…ec76backed Korda | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed McDonald | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…5bb0backed Korda | 80c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Korda | 58c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Korda | 61c | 16.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)this page
- Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Mackenzie McDonaldKorda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.