Tennis · resolved market
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Mackenzie McDonald
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbae8e54e755a07dcc951362b254142f5caf0c9e3f5a7beaebe5b8dfe1f2682c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kordaof Korda, McDonald
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed McDonald | 19c | 11,624$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.55 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed McDonald | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed McDonald | 11c | 3,875$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed McDonald | 21c | 3,417$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.22 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed McDonald | 31c | 2,948$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.23 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…fe8fbacked Korda | 80c | 2,923$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Korda | 74c | 2,600$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Korda | 79c | 2,579$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.46 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Korda | 79c | 2,535$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.61 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Korda | 80c | 2,083$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.67 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed McDonald | 20c | 1,739$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked McDonald | 22c | 1,665$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.69 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed McDonald | 19c | 1,338$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.98 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed McDonald | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Korda | 68c | 1,205$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.06 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed McDonald | 19c | 1,202$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.69 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed McDonald | 21c | 1,089$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.85 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed McDonald | 6c | 857.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 127 | 22%28 W · 99 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Korda | 80c | 782.88$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.28 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed McDonald | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked McDonald | 24c | 699.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Korda | 76c | 693.5$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Korda | 73c | 648.49$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Korda | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Korda | 77c | 515.1$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Korda | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed McDonald | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed McDonald | 21c | 422.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…ff89backed Korda | 80c | 386.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Korda | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed McDonald | 8c | 304.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Korda | 80c | 282.5$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked McDonald | 21c | 246.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked McDonald | 16c | 243.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked McDonald | 24c | 229$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed McDonald | 6c | 199.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed McDonald | 20c | 196$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed McDonald | 20c | 150.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Korda | 78c | 150.04$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed McDonald | 20c | 145.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Korda | 80c | 136.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked McDonald | 19c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked McDonald | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Korda | 79c | 72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed McDonald | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked McDonald | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed McDonald | 22c | 58.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Korda | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Korda | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78a…61c4backed Korda | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Korda | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 111 | 65.8%73 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Korda | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Korda | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Korda | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Korda | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Korda | 79c | 18.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Korda | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…2d58backed Korda | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…3679backed Korda | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Mackenzie McDonaldthis page
- Set Handicap: Korda (-1.5) vs McDonald (+1.5)Korda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.