Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: OXEN vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x243df673aee2eeb13b6a4771060dc998a66900139bb970d6810b84c21d842b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OXENof OXEN, Aura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Aura | 41c | 1,261$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.45 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed OXEN | 78c | 666$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.52 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed OXEN | 57c | 521$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aura | 23c | 405.19$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Aura | 42c | 396.73$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.3 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed OXEN | 67c | 384.66$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.58 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Aura | 29c | 323.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed OXEN | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aura | 50c | 229.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.12 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked OXEN | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed OXEN | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Aura | 44c | 197.59$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.13 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed OXEN | 58c | 194.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Aura | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed OXEN | 56c | 140.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…c5f6backed OXEN | 37c | 123.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…7a21backed OXEN | 58c | 119.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5700backed Aura | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -70%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aura | 54c | 106.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked OXEN | 73c | 100.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aura | 49c | 98.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…556ebacked OXEN | 47c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked OXEN | 54c | 92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…ea42backed OXEN | 58c | 86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…96d5backed Aura | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6a…9a65backed Aura | 42c | 86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed OXEN | 53c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed OXEN | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aura | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Aura | 42c | 53.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Aura | 42c | 53.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked OXEN | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed OXEN | 38c | 49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked OXEN | 52c | 46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed OXEN | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked OXEN | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed OXEN | 58c | 39.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked OXEN | 59c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Aura | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked OXEN | 36c | 28.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed OXEN | 59c | 28.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed OXEN | 55c | 28.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked OXEN | 55c | 24.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Aura | 64c | 23.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…df1bbacked Aura | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Aura | 58c | 20.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 186 | 51.1%95 W · 91 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Aura | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: OXEN vs Aura (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: OXEN vs Aura - Map 1 WinnerAura won
- Valorant: OXEN vs Aura - Map 2 WinnerOXEN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.