CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a5be4ba8b51accd4331d6931ef7d521160ab0b16cd17373ed93d6aa5d8c6d71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Aurora Young Blood, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 2,193$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.37 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Aurora Young Blood | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed HAVU | 59c | 1,033$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.78 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Aurora Young Blood | 42c | 730.55$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked HAVU | 61c | 655.05$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.06 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 45c | 630$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed HAVU | 47c | 570$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked HAVU | 49c | 476.85$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.05 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Aurora Young Blood | 33c | 456.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked HAVU | 44c | 450.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.52 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 440$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked HAVU | 41c | 440$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Aurora Young Blood | 30c | 426.26$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked HAVU | 45c | 422$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed HAVU | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HAVU | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 40c | 270.84$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.67 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 265.51$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…0df6backed Aurora Young Blood | 64c | 234.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 59c | 209.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed HAVU | 28c | 206.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked HAVU | 36c | 204.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed HAVU | 61c | 193.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 152.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed HAVU | 67c | 148.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked Aurora Young Blood | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Aurora Young Blood | 37c | 143.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Young Blood | 48c | 130.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HAVU | 45c | 119.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 55c | 118.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…edbcbacked HAVU | 44c | 118.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked HAVU | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HAVU | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked HAVU | 59c | 85.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed HAVU | 53c | 69.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked HAVU | 45c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed HAVU | 53c | 41.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Aurora Young Blood | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Aurora Young Blood | 38c | 37.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Aurora Young Blood | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed HAVU | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Aurora Young Blood | 54c | 30.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HAVU | 63c | 30.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked HAVU | 62c | 29.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…3ce2backed Aurora Young Blood | 36c | 28.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Aurora Young Blood | 50c | 25.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked HAVU | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Aurora Young Blood | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #17 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerAurora Young Blood won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.