Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-10-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9fdb10870a7d52bcee283148c355a57a4046ec3bac34f19f0ddca537562f6df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 35c | 5,274$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.16 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 3,474$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.43 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 65c | 2,364$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.04 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 2,356$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 32c | 2,225$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.05 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 31c | 385$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.35 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Yes | 34c | 267$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 143 | 42.7%61 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 32c | 134.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed Yes | 34c | 31.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 35c | 29.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 68c | 20.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-10-21?this page
- Will Derby County FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Derby County FC win on 2025-10-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.