Tennis · resolved market
Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Joao Fonseca
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7c025f8e133b064d42820731c5f632106fd5e990d6de9190312c4024a253bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fonsecaof Perricard, Fonseca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,380
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,380 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Fonseca | 48c | 8,587$4,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.87 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Fonseca | 45c | 7,500$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,138.27 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Perricard | 55c | 7,037$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888.18 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Perricard | 54c | 6,004$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.04 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fonseca | 47c | 5,508$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.22 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Perricard | 54c | 5,000$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.4 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fonseca | 47c | 4,567$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Perricard | 57c | 4,505$2,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,582.6 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Fonseca | 49c | 4,157$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.03 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Fonseca | 47c | 2,313$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.54 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Perricard | 52c | 2,186$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.04 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Perricard | 55c | 2,183$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Perricard | 52c | 1,871$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Perricard | 53c | 1,849$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.85 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fonseca | 45c | 1,694$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fonseca | 45c | 1,357$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.43 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Perricard | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Perricard | 54c | 657$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fonseca | 50c | 631$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Fonseca | 47c | 628.62$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Perricard | 54c | 562.64$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Fonseca | 46c | 555$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.45 | 252 | 34.1%86 W · 166 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Fonseca | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Perricard | 56c | 522.67$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.98 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Perricard | 55c | 486.29$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.46 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Fonseca | 48c | 486$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.72 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Perricard | 52c | 412$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Perricard | 51c | 406$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.31 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Perricard | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…b52cbacked Perricard | 53c | 375.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Perricard | 54c | 370.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Perricard | 26c | 334.62$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fonseca | 45c | 327$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.36 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Perricard | 54c | 321.3$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.5 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Perricard | 19c | 300$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Fonseca | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Perricard | 26c | 263$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Perricard | 55c | 259$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.11 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Fonseca | 48c | 243.75$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Perricard | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Perricard | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Perricard | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Perricard | 55c | 179.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Fonseca | 48c | 160.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c3…885fbacked Perricard | 54c | 157.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Perricard | 63c | 157.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7665…f332backed Perricard | 26c | 151.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Perricard | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Perricard | 55c | 107.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 57c | 104.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed Fonseca | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Perricard | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Perricard | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Perricard | 53c | 97.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Perricard | 54c | 96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 313 | 39.9%125 W · 188 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Perricard | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Perricard | 52c | 87.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fonseca | 58c | 86.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.47 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Fonseca | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fonseca | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Fonseca | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…bdb3backed Perricard | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Perricard | 55c | 53.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Perricard | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…8885backed Fonseca | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Fonseca | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Perricard | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Perricard | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Fonseca | 47c | 36.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Fonseca | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…7150backed Fonseca | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 165 | 64.8%107 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Fonseca | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Fonseca | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Fonseca | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Perricard | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Fonseca | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Fonseca | 48c | 28.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Perricard | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.