Tennis · resolved market
Chennai Open: Nao Hibino vs Mia Pohankova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cbc4be044fc0254a79af4dc091fbd95b17d8e831f9b45bc551887681910e3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pohankovaof Hibino, Pohankova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Hibino | 7c | 7,020$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Hibino | 11c | 6,130$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.6 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pohankova | 71c | 2,982$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.29 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pohankova | 52c | 2,439$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.98 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Hibino | 70c | 2,243$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.38 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pohankova | 76c | 2,175$1,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pohankova | 76c | 1,850$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.84 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pohankova | 50c | 1,691$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.36 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…63fdbacked Pohankova | 50c | 1,450$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…8fa9backed Pohankova | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…eca0backed Hibino | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21c…2585backed Hibino | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc708…f8b1backed Hibino | 50c | 1,252$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c84…d048backed Pohankova | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda1f…4e08backed Hibino | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…7ef5backed Pohankova | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Hibino | 57c | 945$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Hibino | 49c | 887.04$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.95 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7b…2b86backed Hibino | 7c | 877.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Hibino | 13c | 759.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3d…3b84backed Hibino | 50c | 610$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b03…624fbacked Pohankova | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Pohankova | 47c | 574$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…1a42backed Hibino | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…d0d7backed Pohankova | 50c | 490$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…cb2abacked Hibino | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…c9ebbacked Pohankova | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…9ee2backed Pohankova | 50c | 475$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3278…9cd4backed Hibino | 50c | 455$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Pohankova | 45c | 355.3$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pohankova | 49c | 332.16$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.42 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Hibino | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…b9f7backed Hibino | 45c | 244.47$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Hibino | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Hibino | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…cd72backed Pohankova | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -51%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…68febacked Hibino | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hibino | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…7319backed Hibino | 60c | 128.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Pohankova | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Pohankova | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Pohankova | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pohankova | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Pohankova | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Hibino | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Pohankova | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Pohankova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.