Dota2 · resolved market
Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a55f3423f521068a3f66080bc86e2eded5972a1f9fee05558bc1d874daec94c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df4…0b7abacked Yes | 63c | 3,666$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed No | 50c | 3,040$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed Yes | 55c | 1,158$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…6d64backed No | 41c | 1,100$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 43c | 885.78$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 21c | 711.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 45c | 664.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.55 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Yes | 41c | 579.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.69 | 322 | 37.3%120 W · 202 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Yes | 47c | 410.8$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 36c | 338$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.26 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 46c | 304$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.61 | 172 | 43.6%75 W · 97 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked No | 24c | 302.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bd…d537backed Yes | 39c | 294.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 79c | 260$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 29c | 249.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 14c | 240$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +246.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 28c | 225$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…4268backed No | 10c | 222.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…abc2backed Yes | 37c | 220.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked No | 59c | 187.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b81…b9fbbacked Yes | 33c | 180.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 21c | 173.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 48c | 172.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…8a06backed Yes | 61c | 171.09$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 28c | 170$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Yes | 77c | 162.17$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 385 | 54.8%211 W · 174 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 35c | 151.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 27c | 137.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 48c | 128.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 52c | 127.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4d…73eebacked Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a9…fdb6backed Yes | 49c | 100.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…ae14backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb563…ddbbbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…68babacked Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…5d49backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…32b7backed No | 43c | 99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd66…132cbacked Yes | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…f492backed No | 41c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…a665backed No | 35c | 92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5651…83e1backed No | 48c | 91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 89.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f36…89cabacked Yes | 39c | 87.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 199 | 44.2%88 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 78.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 387 | 32.8%127 W · 260 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked No | 51c | 77.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 339 | 67.6%229 W · 110 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…dddabacked Yes | 45c | 66.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 22c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 26c | 62.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87db…e21ebacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 25c | 55.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked No | 55c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 454 | 70.7%321 W · 133 L | +26.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 57c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 50c | 53.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…640bbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b5…5f21backed Yes | 62c | 51.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…e632backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 57c | 49.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Yes | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfede…436dbacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…bc15backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…7ed1backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…3a6cbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…aa50backed Yes | 44c | 37.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…7134backed Yes | 77c | 37.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…76e9backed No | 48c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…6105backed No | 48c | 33.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 58c | 30.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 42c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873f…22bbbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a57…0358backed Yes | 48c | 28.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…78e0backed No | 57c | 26.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…70c5backed Yes | 45c | 23.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…e279backed Yes | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…bdaebacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…3699backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…14c7backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…11fdbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…cfdabacked Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…202bbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda71…799dbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will valve announce no hero as the new hero at The International 2026?this page
- Will valve announce Any different hero as the new hero at The International 2026?No won
- Will valve announce Arjun as the new hero at The International 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.