South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Racing Club vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x829cbb71c3017389ceb2949b79c5ac180bd40ffdcc592805dab4dc87e62c0a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 6,303$4,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.75 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 5,850$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.85 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 31c | 4,648$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.16 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 3,723$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.49 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 1,718$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 70c | 1,249$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.19 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 1,005$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.55 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 71c | 735.77$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 29c | 689.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.02 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 675.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.52 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 32c | 623.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 589.24$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.18 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 332.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 74c | 306$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked No | 70c | 207.09$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 72c | 200.34$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 186.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 175.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 73c | 160.47$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 157$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 30c | 143.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 30c | 138.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 74c | 121.62$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 31c | 111$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 30c | 93.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 31c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed Yes | 30c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 27c | 63.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed No | 70c | 55.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 31c | 51.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 49.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 47.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 31c | 44.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 40.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9891…8949backed Yes | 31c | 40.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 30c | 38.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83b…dedfbacked No | 70c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 70c | 21.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…46e2backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Racing Club vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-08-14?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.