Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc3eafd629eb22ec4ae50b769736dea4dc1fdfd7c60f92aeb3d7174ceab168c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 20c | 7,629$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.64 | 1,818 | 50.4%917 W · 901 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 12c | 5,778$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.97 | 2,585 | 40%1,035 W · 1,550 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 3,210$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.83 | 2,566 | 42.1%1,081 W · 1,485 L | +52.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 1,602$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.49 | 2,535 | 38%964 W · 1,571 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 19c | 1,168$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.85 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,143 | 46.5%531 W · 612 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 5c | 999.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 933.88$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 940 | 44.7%420 W · 520 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 80c | 698.73$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.75 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 17c | 594.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 773 | 42.6%329 W · 444 L | -27.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 417.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1,116 | 41.6%464 W · 652 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +121.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 9c | 236.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 218.04$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.79 | 1,266 | 50.2%635 W · 631 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 80c | 200.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 21c | 156.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b9…60c6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 20c | 77.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…2016backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 80c | 63.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 79 | 79.7%63 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked No | 80c | 60.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…6790backed No | 80c | 24.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1300…d632backed No | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked No | 80c | 17.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 80c | 15.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…3ae0backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…4f02backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?this page
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.