Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64ad1a4d64f10b3e97a4d15135afbff20cb7759191a217ab5a0d6770a29137a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,878$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.45 | 2,620 | 42%1,101 W · 1,519 L | +51.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 42c | 1,673$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.17 | 798 | 42.4%338 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 72c | 1,670$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 3c | 1,546$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 698.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.04 | 427 | 50.4%215 W · 212 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 75c | 698.72$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.04 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 610.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.87 | 413 | 49.2%203 W · 210 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 5c | 340.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Yes | 61c | 329.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 302.17$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 2,650 | 40.2%1,065 W · 1,585 L | -17.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 38c | 296.95$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 27c | 237.74$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.37 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 17c | 227.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 75c | 200.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…5d2ebacked No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 41c | 147.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 76c | 126.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 13c | 123.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,804 | 36.6%660 W · 1,144 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 39c | 83.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 169 | 52.7%89 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 34c | 82.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 993 | 44.4%441 W · 552 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed No | 44c | 73.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 47c | 71.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 49c | 69.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 66.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 1,882 | 50%941 W · 941 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 25c | 66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 65.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 75c | 63.41$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 56.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 6,028 | 46.1%2,778 W · 3,250 L | +50.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 22c | 53.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 66c | 50.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 436 | 50.5%220 W · 216 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 496 | 52.8%262 W · 234 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked Yes | 66c | 49.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 74c | 41.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked No | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Yes | 48c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Yes | 51c | 23.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…3b09backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 74c | 14.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.