Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1adbb010a3d4a5b9c88454c75a88fb553875d3cfa4d504902b7176a4b921bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 32c | 4,169$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.73 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 3,076$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333f…3cd6backed No | 31c | 916.88$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +166%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 900.59$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.96 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 537.53$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.86 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 37c | 504.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 69c | 444.57$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 35c | 354.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.44 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 291.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Yes | 51c | 274.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed No | 56c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +88%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked No | 46c | 247.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 63c | 234.76$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.9 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 46c | 222.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 54c | 213.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 64c | 159.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 63c | 155.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 64c | 136.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 49c | 96.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 57c | 79.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 39c | 76.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 51c | 74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 55c | 62.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 77c | 40.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 73c | 38.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 65c | 33.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 64c | 29.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 22.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 78c | 17.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?Yes won
- Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.