Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x945fa2d23ad9eacbebaf6dccb4a1cf30fb351bdcc5873879568a4101df52bcd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 61c | 3,270$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.08 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 2,478$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.53 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 46c | 435.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.08 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 18c | 405.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 13c | 375.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.8 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 18c | 261$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.02 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 237.73$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 38c | 125$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 62c | 117.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 78c | 102$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 85.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 75c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 33c | 49.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +7.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 73c | 30.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 74c | 26.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 57c | 22.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 58c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ÍF Vestri vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-07-30?No won
- Will ÍF Vestri win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.