TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

AEK Lárnakas vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $261,029 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3541…78debacked Over1c129,427$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Over0c62,726$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.88837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a1…b6babacked Under58c18,911$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,911.141275%9 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Over57c14,000$7,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,979.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under43c10,267$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,852.3952243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over42c4,767$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.4738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over48c3,625$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over1c2,639$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over54c2,139$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.795448.1%26 W · 28 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under52c1,770$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,429$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.232,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c1,293$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.453,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over43c901.12$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.117550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed Over44c882.51$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.31258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over48c876.52$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.153839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under58c682.76$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.762846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c648.69$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0976941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over44c568.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over44c523$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.521,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under56c436.87$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.226330.2%19 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over44c413.38$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1834141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c391.8$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.270239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Over25c341.91$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Under41c331.49$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+157.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under53c288$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.364643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over43c278.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12088048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under57c249.19$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1520056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f4d…398dbacked Over42c181.81$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.361952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Over60c180.81$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5168…afc8backed Over49c178.55$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165f…c71abacked Under51c177.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb8…b0fcbacked Over49c177.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87f9…c38cbacked Under51c177$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…15f7backed Under51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf64c…252fbacked Under51c173$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77e1…54e7backed Over49c172.29$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5402…1e42backed Over49c169.34$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over52c162$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.241020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b21…2560backed Under51c161$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…7e06backed Over49c159.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc67f…00dfbacked Over49c152.66$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x724e…f9b0backed Under51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over47c149.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.498442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc26…1a86backed Over49c149.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0a…5a6bbacked Under51c149$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c148.07$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8923949.4%118 W · 121 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over52c146$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.374339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b16…b08bbacked Over49c145.11$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f5…b374backed Under51c137.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x706e…1d01backed Under51c137$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over44c136.05$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8617249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over56c129.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.88757.5%50 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca7a…1452backed Over49c129.88$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over24c129.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6833522.4%75 W · 260 L-43.5wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-52.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x208a…76dbbacked Over49c125.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Over49c125$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2790…acfdbacked Under51c124$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under47c121.91$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1821835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over45c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Over48c110.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913337.6%50 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over44c88.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over46c86.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.163366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under71c83.79$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4538453.1%204 W · 180 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Under48c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde42…e01bbacked Over47c59.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over44c57.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.329048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256136.1%22 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9624…0b05backed Over58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5ce…286abacked Over41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.55455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Over48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248331.3%26 W · 57 L-9.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-30%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under50c47.93$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.931931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under56c41.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1574155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Over48c38.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.622055%11 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+31.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf18…af99backed Under52c38.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.659958.6%58 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Under51c33.45$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick42cpaid+82.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d6b…591abacked Under79c32.92$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.82862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+51.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a9…73debacked Over45c32.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.627939.8%111 W · 168 L-15.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.31457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over52c29.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.552835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c6c…c7adbacked Over46c29.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over38c28.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.255366%35 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over47c24.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.724459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over48c24.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.951040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f40…5401backed Over48c24.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.95837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.