Tennis · resolved market
Hersonissos 2: Peter Makk vs Philip Henning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6682fe7d26cfe007cfde8ebe9312726143af688e19bd73b4f237a69edce39360
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philip Henningof Peter Makk, Philip Henning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,082 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Peter Makk | 13c | 5,208$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Philip Henning | 76c | 4,718$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Peter Makk | 43c | 2,489$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.8 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Peter Makk | 48c | 2,071$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Philip Henning | 51c | 1,619$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.2 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Philip Henning | 52c | 1,443$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.45 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Peter Makk | 17c | 1,273$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.78 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Peter Makk | 47c | 901.32$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.62 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Philip Henning | 54c | 774.97$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.49 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philip Henning | 53c | 661.98$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Peter Makk | 15c | 622$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philip Henning | 51c | 458.04$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.69 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Peter Makk | 46c | 435$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Peter Makk | 61c | 342.94$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Peter Makk | 23c | 316.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Peter Makk | 26c | 299.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Peter Makk | 34c | 292.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Peter Makk | 47c | 267.08$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Peter Makk | 48c | 241.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Philip Henning | 65c | 227.37$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Philip Henning | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Philip Henning | 47c | 221.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.28 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Peter Makk | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Philip Henning | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Philip Henning | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Philip Henning | 52c | 170.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Peter Makk | 46c | 126.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Philip Henning | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Peter Makk | 48c | 110.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Philip Henning | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Peter Makk | 50c | 105.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Philip Henning | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f1…f53cbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Philip Henning | 53c | 91.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philip Henning | 51c | 85.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…0781backed Peter Makk | 15c | 80.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Peter Makk | 31c | 75.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Peter Makk | 48c | 66.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Philip Henning | 67c | 66.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Philip Henning | 79c | 61.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 59.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Peter Makk | 49c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.55 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Philip Henning | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Philip Henning | 79c | 49.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Peter Makk | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Peter Makk | 46c | 46.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…5da7backed Philip Henning | 75c | 37.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Philip Henning | 54c | 34.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Peter Makk | 29c | 34.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Philip Henning | 73c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Philip Henning | 59c | 30.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…a68bbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Peter Makk | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Philip Henning | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Philip Henning | 51c | 24.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Peter Makk | 46c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Philip Henning | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…0c17backed Philip Henning | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Philip Henning | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e5bdbacked Philip Henning | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…3c1cbacked Philip Henning | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…e12abacked Philip Henning | 80c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.