Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Dan Added vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4a5642f6411c7738d37b9ecfb58918f1c0ca6ca3bf260fd1dd44b2cdd3c3fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Murphy Cassoneof Dan Added, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dan Added | 4c | 6,625$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Dan Added | 15c | 3,299$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dan Added | 7c | 3,104$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.37 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Dan Added | 2c | 2,662$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 1,970$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.69 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dan Added | 34c | 1,400$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.93 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dan Added | 36c | 1,399$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.06 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…da35backed Dan Added | 16c | 1,268$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 479 | 46.3%222 W · 257 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Dan Added | 26c | 1,195$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.96 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Murphy Cassone | 67c | 1,193$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.09 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Dan Added | 14c | 1,109$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dan Added | 3c | 849.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Murphy Cassone | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Dan Added | 35c | 601.68$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Dan Added | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dan Added | 19c | 559.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Dan Added | 15c | 537$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dan Added | 26c | 467$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dan Added | 11c | 457.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Dan Added | 36c | 402.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Murphy Cassone | 73c | 349.36$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Dan Added | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5e…3c51backed Murphy Cassone | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Dan Added | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…0dc7backed Dan Added | 37c | 281.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Dan Added | 33c | 184.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Murphy Cassone | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…2e57backed Murphy Cassone | 68c | 147.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebb…7e02backed Murphy Cassone | 64c | 132.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Dan Added | 24c | 120.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Dan Added | 34c | 115.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Murphy Cassone | 65c | 112.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dan Added | 16c | 105.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Murphy Cassone | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dan Added | 23c | 100.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dan Added | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Murphy Cassone | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Dan Added | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Dan Added | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dan Added | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Murphy Cassone | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Murphy Cassone | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Dan Added | 21c | 95.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…fb49backed Dan Added | 26c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dan Added | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Murphy Cassone | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…d03abacked Murphy Cassone | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…5da7backed Murphy Cassone | 67c | 70.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Dan Added | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Dan Added | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dan Added | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Murphy Cassone | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Murphy Cassone | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Dan Added | 33c | 49.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Dan Added | 35c | 44.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Dan Added | 35c | 43.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Murphy Cassone | 63c | 32.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Dan Added | 33c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Dan Added vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Added vs. Cassone: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Added vs CassoneCassone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.