TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hersonissos 2: Michael Geerts vs Stefan Dostanic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefan Dostanicof Michael Geerts, Stefan Dostanic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,662 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5422…76a4backed Michael Geerts18c5,594$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002623.1%6 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stefan Dostanic76c3,167$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.852,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Stefan Dostanic63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.839950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michael Geerts38c2,276$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.131,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Stefan Dostanic61c2,207$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.1419241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Stefan Dostanic63c1,833$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.8420847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Michael Geerts37c1,721$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.684949%24 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+205.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b0…4857backed Stefan Dostanic64c1,415$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Stefan Dostanic63c1,252$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.626,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Michael Geerts36c1,207$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.521,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Michael Geerts35c1,176$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.6524350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Michael Geerts36c1,010$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.617462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Stefan Dostanic58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4203669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Michael Geerts37c914.08$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.215046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Michael Geerts39c799.99$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.0422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michael Geerts37c799.95$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.983,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stefan Dostanic63c669.36$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.911,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Michael Geerts38c527.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Stefan Dostanic59c484.71$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7315354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Stefan Dostanic76c397.27$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.278465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Michael Geerts38c395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8d3…acf8backed Michael Geerts38c371.48$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14112030%36 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Michael Geerts41c359.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3230542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Michael Geerts38c328.9$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.721,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Michael Geerts40c307.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.84,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Michael Geerts38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11415848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Michael Geerts37c243.93$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.264,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Michael Geerts37c236$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.327,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Michael Geerts17c228.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.349,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stefan Dostanic77c205.72$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.872,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Stefan Dostanic63c198.41$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.414971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Michael Geerts43c188.87$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.521,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Michael Geerts28c180.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.262,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michael Geerts24c174.56$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.493,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Stefan Dostanic63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb495…7c65backed Stefan Dostanic64c156.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Michael Geerts37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Michael Geerts38c141$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.011,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf901…5f48backed Stefan Dostanic64c137.03$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Michael Geerts37c135.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1754434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Michael Geerts38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Michael Geerts39c129.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Michael Geerts46c109.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9965840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Stefan Dostanic64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3677967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Michael Geerts14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1451539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x184e…9a12backed Stefan Dostanic63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Stefan Dostanic64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3636349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Stefan Dostanic76c90.84$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Stefan Dostanic57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7269253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Michael Geerts23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Michael Geerts38c84.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.751,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Stefan Dostanic62c80.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6466452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Michael Geerts38c78.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Stefan Dostanic64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1384963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Michael Geerts43c68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0785748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Stefan Dostanic75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6710967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Stefan Dostanic79c62.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.145379.2%42 W · 11 L+8.0wins+0.15per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Stefan Dostanic64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.539872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Michael Geerts42c61.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.941,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Stefan Dostanic64c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.689364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Michael Geerts38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.71442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Michael Geerts37c56.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9110340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…8d7bbacked Michael Geerts37c54.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Michael Geerts37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Michael Geerts38c53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1477047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Michael Geerts37c51.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.218233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Stefan Dostanic64c50.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.123852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Michael Geerts38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…dfffbacked Michael Geerts46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Stefan Dostanic64c48.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3717654.5%96 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Stefan Dostanic62c47.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0633651.5%173 W · 163 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Michael Geerts42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Stefan Dostanic64c44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8496844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Michael Geerts25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114235.7%15 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Michael Geerts44c32.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Stefan Dostanic64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2581933.1%271 W · 548 L-30.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x680d…98b8backed Stefan Dostanic64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.259663.5%61 W · 35 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Stefan Dostanic63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.147447.9%227 W · 247 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Stefan Dostanic64c28.91$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4165849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Stefan Dostanic64c27.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108361.4%51 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Stefan Dostanic57c26.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277c…e529backed Stefan Dostanic59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.425446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa574…ae93backed Michael Geerts40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Stefan Dostanic64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Stefan Dostanic77c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.064,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Stefan Dostanic64c20.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2631434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Stefan Dostanic63c19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0399056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Stefan Dostanic63c16.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.222258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Stefan Dostanic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6316558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Stefan Dostanic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6390854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Stefan Dostanic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e78…11ffbacked Stefan Dostanic64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.637650%38 W · 38 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Stefan Dostanic70c15.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Stefan Dostanic72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.2343951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.