MLB · resolved market
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4970790477556f5ece3aa49e42b4ee116f8571c9584e6cfcacd7693bef7c39ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,949 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 46c | 7,891$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,277.68 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Boston Red Sox | 0c | 6,228$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 4,050$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,768$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.95 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,124$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.41 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed New York Yankees | 44c | 518.51$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.36 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 510.03$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 480$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.8 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340b…8e1bbacked New York Yankees | 58c | 450$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 347.88$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Boston Red Sox | 5c | 320.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 320$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked New York Yankees | 44c | 300.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed New York Yankees | 45c | 269.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New York Yankees | 79c | 236$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 58c | 205.4$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boston Red Sox | 32c | 202.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Boston Red Sox | 15c | 192.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed New York Yankees | 45c | 168.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed New York Yankees | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed New York Yankees | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 116$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 112.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 109.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 105.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Yankees | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed New York Yankees | 41c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed New York Yankees | 43c | 82.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed New York Yankees | 61c | 81.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 70.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed New York Yankees | 45c | 67.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 64.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9a…d339backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 63.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed New York Yankees | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9643…2dc9backed New York Yankees | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed New York Yankees | 45c | 55.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked New York Yankees | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 49.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed New York Yankees | 75c | 45.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99e…2235backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba7…c3c4backed New York Yankees | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 34.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x035f…7879backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…72b1backed New York Yankees | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b05…47c0backed New York Yankees | 63c | 31.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 28.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 26.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.