Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34aefe3e29c2b8730313e75935e03301d8e0113e0653cda67bec57bd54012c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kent State Golden Flashesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Ohio Bobcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,817 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ohio Bobcats | 55c | 1,200$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.33 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 584.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Ohio Bobcats | 35c | 322.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 306.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 286.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.51 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ohio Bobcats | 51c | 99.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 86.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 76.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ohio Bobcats | 58c | 70.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 61c | 64.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 59.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 57.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Ohio Bobcats | 53c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 47c | 52.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 43.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Kent State Golden Flashes | 45c | 39.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Ohio Bobcats | 29c | 34.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Ohio Bobcats | 33c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kent State Golden Flashes | 77c | 17.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-4.5)this page
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden FlashesKent State Golden Flashes won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 158.5Over won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 159.5Over won
- Ohio Bobcats vs. Kent State Golden Flashes: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Kent State Golden Flashes (-3.5)Kent State Golden Flashes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.