Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5290ca17164da176805dbc716a978f0a12fe081619a4a1de9d4de23506b096a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Wisconsin Badgers, Washington Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,329 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Washington Huskies | 56c | 21,788$12,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,605.09 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 12,392$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,452.42 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 7,488$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 3,309$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Washington Huskies | 56c | 2,143$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 1,228$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.92 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Washington Huskies | 57c | 869.67$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 405.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.45 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 369.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 264.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 241.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 241.21$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.24 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 187.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 179$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Washington Huskies | 51c | 166.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 135.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 99.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington Huskies | 53c | 70.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 67.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 67.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 52.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Washington Huskies | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Huskies | 53c | 46.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 44.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 40.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 35.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 32.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 53c | 29.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Washington Huskies | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 26.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 23.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Washington Huskies | 53c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Wisconsin Badgers | 64c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5)Washington Huskies won
- Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.