Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63625d0627fbd7d0d3f95d717fa39d6553c163fdacbdb43546ce6dbda3071a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Wisconsin Badgers, Washington Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,872 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 7,296$3,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.87 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 4,985$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 3,889$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.67 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Washington Huskies | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 1,764$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 1,735$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.34 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 1,118$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Wisconsin Badgers | 56c | 619.61$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.98 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Huskies | 48c | 570.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.5 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 504.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 450.71$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.39 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 423.19$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.06 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 344$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 310.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.38 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Washington Huskies | 52c | 289.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.39 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 265.66$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.55 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Huskies | 46c | 248.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 220.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Washington Huskies | 52c | 215.54$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 206.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 197.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Washington Huskies | 51c | 194.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 193.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Huskies | 44c | 171.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 164.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Huskies | 50c | 142.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 135.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 131.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a66…2c23backed Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 92.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Washington Huskies | 49c | 80.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 55c | 69.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Washington Huskies | 47c | 51.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Washington Huskies | 52c | 49.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Washington Huskies | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 58c | 47.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…fba4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Huskies | 48c | 40.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Washington Huskies | 51c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 35.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 30.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…cdf8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 72c | 27.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 24.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Washington Huskies | 51c | 22.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5)Washington Huskies won
- Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Washington Huskies vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.