NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f9a6b5af299117c2ae948215dcdea549ec51fde526854dd7cfa37d10c160fdc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,461 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 48c | 46,720$22,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,294.2 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 52c | 18,160$9,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,443.06 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 48c | 11,681$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,074.27 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 53c | 9,055$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.69 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 8,506$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.47 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 6,264$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.92 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 6,057$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.61 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 5,518$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.42 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 53c | 4,280$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.4 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 3,985$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.39 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 52c | 2,266$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed Under | 53c | 2,055$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,983$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.16 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,800$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.16 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 53c | 1,558$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.74 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 1,149$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.62 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked Under | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Over | 51c | 971.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.98 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 54c | 939.31$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 774.32$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Under | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 641.51$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Over | 47c | 599.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.96 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 52c | 577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 48c | 438.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 36c | 343.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.51 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 33c | 326.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.15 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 47c | 299.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5232…ef67backed Over | 49c | 219.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 47c | 219.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 46c | 138.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 53c | 134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 33c | 125$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 106.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…fed6backed Over | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 52c | 102.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 31c | 76.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 333 | 63.7%212 W · 121 L | +44.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 48c | 71.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -13.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 52c | 64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9a33backed Over | 78c | 62.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 50c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Under | 52c | 58.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 48c | 50.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010b…81dcbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 48c | 42.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Over | 48c | 42.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…24c3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 31.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 31.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 59c | 27.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 52c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Over | 48c | 21.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…ba10backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. CanucksHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.