Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575724bbaad2050486e1c2f245ea42d91d1ef58bbcd29d07f6ff7fba9feeccf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof Nicholls Colonels, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb729…4e2ebacked Nicholls Colonels | 31c | 1,589$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.62 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 75c | 1,019$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.64 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 63c | 623.91$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Nicholls Colonels | 23c | 314$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 58c | 251$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nicholls Colonels | 21c | 123$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…97bcbacked Nicholls Colonels | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd3…0d61backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 63c | 25.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.