CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b084eddd56af949452f0086e613c30a58aa3009c4c3fba8ed706abfd601f572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof CYBERSHOKE Esports, STATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 17,907$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.38 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed STATE | 27c | 4,635$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.97 | 333 | 27.9%93 W · 240 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked STATE | 22c | 3,290$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.7 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed STATE | 23c | 2,431$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.22 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed STATE | 25c | 2,269$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.8 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed STATE | 23c | 2,191$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.14 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 2,050$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked STATE | 25c | 1,960$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed STATE | 23c | 1,400$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked STATE | 23c | 987.76$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 913.03$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.09 | 590 | 55.3%326 W · 264 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 800.4$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.43 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed STATE | 23c | 760.87$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 74c | 695.5$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 458 | 54.8%251 W · 207 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 646.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.02 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed STATE | 27c | 645.9$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.84 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 608.38$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.3 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed STATE | 22c | 557.91$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…b37bbacked STATE | 23c | 513.98$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked STATE | 25c | 499.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 458.1$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed STATE | 23c | 455.82$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 610 | 54.6%333 W · 277 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed STATE | 27c | 414.85$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked STATE | 28c | 402$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 746 | 33.4%249 W · 497 L | -48.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed STATE | 23c | 380.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 445 | 52.4%233 W · 212 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed STATE | 23c | 319.56$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 318.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 300.87$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 982 | 48.3%474 W · 508 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked STATE | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…9b05backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked STATE | 24c | 289.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed STATE | 14c | 289$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked STATE | 25c | 276.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed STATE | 17c | 248.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 220$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 71c | 213.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked STATE | 24c | 203.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked STATE | 25c | 200.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…bb76backed STATE | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 401 | 75.1%301 W · 100 L | +20.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed STATE | 25c | 198.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked STATE | 17c | 191.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked STATE | 14c | 175.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked STATE | 29c | 170$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked STATE | 27c | 157.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed STATE | 23c | 147.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked STATE | 24c | 147.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 140.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 358 | 57.8%207 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012b…7c42backed STATE | 23c | 106.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked STATE | 23c | 87.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3b…05aabacked STATE | 23c | 83.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 62.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 835 | 56.2%469 W · 366 L | +31.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked STATE | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked STATE | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 41.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 76c | 41.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 73c | 38.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 31.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…1ab5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…6d95backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 19.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 75c | 18.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 72c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 171 | 59.6%102 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 77c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE - Map 1 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs STATE - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.