Tennis · resolved market
ITF Elvas: Matilde Jorge vs Hina Inoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29fba69d04d7682cb814e18ffab024e1058edc458edaf69091568f99b557611a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matilde Jorgeof Matilde Jorge, Hina Inoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matilde Jorge | 73c | 3,597$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.18 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Hina Inoue | 10c | 1,981$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Hina Inoue | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Hina Inoue | 19c | 544.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Matilde Jorge | 72c | 517.3$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…87f6backed Matilde Jorge | 63c | 499.96$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Matilde Jorge | 60c | 459.7$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Hina Inoue | 25c | 411.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.68 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Hina Inoue | 26c | 360.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Matilde Jorge | 65c | 356.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Hina Inoue | 24c | 350.57$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.95 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Hina Inoue | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hina Inoue | 27c | 311.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Hina Inoue | 37c | 252.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hina Inoue | 20c | 239.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hina Inoue | 37c | 200.9$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Hina Inoue | 37c | 196.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Hina Inoue | 39c | 187$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hina Inoue | 25c | 180.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Hina Inoue | 32c | 153.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matilde Jorge | 73c | 145.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hina Inoue | 26c | 141.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hina Inoue | 15c | 132$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Hina Inoue | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hina Inoue | 37c | 126.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Hina Inoue | 19c | 118.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Matilde Jorge | 59c | 102.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Hina Inoue | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hina Inoue | 27c | 90.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Matilde Jorge | 76c | 85.03$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Matilde Jorge | 60c | 83.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Matilde Jorge | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Matilde Jorge | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Matilde Jorge | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Hina Inoue | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Matilde Jorge | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Hina Inoue | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Matilde Jorge | 68c | 46.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Matilde Jorge | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Matilde Jorge | 77c | 35.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Matilde Jorge | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Matilde Jorge | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Matilde Jorge | 77c | 33.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Matilde Jorge | 66c | 29.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Hina Inoue | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Matilde Jorge | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Matilde Jorge | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Matilde Jorge | 78c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Matilde Jorge | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Matilde Jorge | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.