Mls · resolved market
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0633d2a50e2ce8e9e8e441c616d8bf4dc857c60dabf8ba03679a5c99a769ff33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 7,736$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.9 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 48c | 4,149$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.56 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 25c | 3,226$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.06 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 52c | 2,275$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.36 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 20c | 1,839$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.1 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 20c | 1,643$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.78 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 70c | 1,494$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.83 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 20c | 1,428$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.29 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.4 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 79c | 1,238$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.22 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 44c | 996.12$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.66 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 21c | 795.12$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.14 | 278 | 37.8%105 W · 173 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 698.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.71 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 65c | 683.46$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.06 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 46c | 417.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 63c | 401$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.45 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 35c | 380.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 43c | 377.8$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 358.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 76c | 338.32$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.36 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 330.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 70c | 308.77$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 286$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 20c | 276$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 21c | 266.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 76c | 257.05$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 245.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 240.7$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 23c | 229.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yes | 72c | 213$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 204.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.46 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 20c | 182.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.01 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 21c | 179.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.56 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 77c | 174.48$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.06 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 38c | 156.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 80c | 156.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 65cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 153.12$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 70c | 151$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffdf…97f8backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…d17bbacked Yes | 23c | 128.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 39c | 124.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…6673backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 49c | 99.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 35c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed No | 59c | 82.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 43c | 65.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 60.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 53.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 23c | 53.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Yes | 49c | 45.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 43c | 37.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 294 | 60.5%178 W · 116 L | +36.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 72c | 33.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 70c | 31.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 53c | 30.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 56c | 28.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked No | 62c | 22.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 80c | 17.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 79c | 17.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 79c | 15.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…99c1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Columbus Crew vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.