TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,206
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,206 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ad7…42aabacked Yes58c100,000$58,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,999.971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes57c95,000$54,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,138.89649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed No44c86,589$38,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,393.572070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c39,427$17,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,941.181,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No43c20,454$8,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,689.797549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No42c17,500$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1508845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No44c17,083$7,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,576.932848.8%160 W · 168 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes55c13,560$7,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4582441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No46c13,283$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,171.6771443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked No42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8002100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No43c8,700$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,995.8212654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No42c7,974$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,596.421,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No42c4,091$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,372.496349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No42c4,004$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,322.056250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9917740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03026345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No43c3,343$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8974751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked No42c2,780$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.435550.4%179 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes56c2,646$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.8697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No61c2,581$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.996341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes57c2,445$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003775.7%28 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes55c2,427$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.8720043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes55c2,150$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.2799340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1608032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1403141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1604751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes56c2,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1104334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes55c1,606$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.744348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Yes55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.24245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes55c1,600$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8805437%20 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No43c1,568$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.769457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8702650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes48c1,443$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.91,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed No42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No45c1,190$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.361963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c1,154$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.4291553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes30c1,118$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.8638246.1%176 W · 206 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes41c1,068$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.951,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No42c1,004$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.4721547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes56c1,000$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c969.29$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.363,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed No51c892.53$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.221752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+29%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No44c811.1$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.870249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes46c762.4$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.231,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No46c722.09$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.213952.5%73 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes23c703.94$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.715954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4063751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No52c602.01$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.496460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes42c600$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.6135247.7%168 W · 184 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34215858.2%92 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes56c559$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.885154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No43c541$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.3733346.8%156 W · 177 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes56c526$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.563540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8d…acc4backed No42c525.23$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.632250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No43c514.66$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.366732.8%22 W · 45 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No45c438$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.831861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+70.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcaf…c830backed No47c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1919960.8%121 W · 78 L+22.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404c…5c87backed No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20820660.7%125 W · 81 L+19.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22029370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22814359.4%85 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes55c394.18$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea53…e1ebbacked No44c363.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.641369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+42.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Yes55c361.98$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.093161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes56c357.45$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.6335149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf029…b1c7backed No45c356.25$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Yes56c348.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.46558.5%38 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes52c341.8$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.743040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes44c336.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9931446.5%146 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes15c321.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.765850%29 W · 29 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+73.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c318.09$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9972850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes44c313.13$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.180249.8%399 W · 403 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x545b…7e82backed Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16826450%132 W · 132 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes5c213$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes55c212.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.74656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes49c206$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11415060%90 W · 60 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11414459.7%86 W · 58 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11414257.7%82 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No43c189.86$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes49c184.11$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1719852.5%104 W · 94 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf025…48f8backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes59c174.58$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.873438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes57c168.96$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2739435.8%141 W · 253 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed No43c166.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.025558.2%32 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No41c166.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2268150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b03…b127backed Yes32c158.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502025%5 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No43c156$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.929058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No43c152.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.210042%42 W · 58 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No61c147.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5919641.3%81 W · 115 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No43c147$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.126163.9%39 W · 22 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e64…f9c7backed Yes57c146.47$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes55c142$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.155750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf90…fa11backed Yes59c140.8$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked No43c138.14$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.742965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.