TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,512
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,512 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c32,608$9,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,167.671,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No72c25,008$18,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,002.234856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes32c8,398$2,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,691.124,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba5…8e17backed No72c7,990$5,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,237.331060%6 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c5,711$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.3490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c5,418$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.563,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c5,026$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.7950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Yes12c4,019$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.536858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No71c3,931$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.984959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes30c3,846$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.648343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes29c3,830$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.5815952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No78c3,672$2,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.4622753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No56c3,341$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick32cpaid-74.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes29c3,301$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.43525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes29c2,971$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.6735759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed Yes29c2,882$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No67c2,707$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.4521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No68c2,549$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.7118956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes43c2,299$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.424344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c2,166$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.311,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No72c2,103$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.835950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5b…cc75backed No72c2,081$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.712466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No79c1,858$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.861,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c1,760$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.8325872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes29c1,466$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.091747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes67c1,463$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes24c1,431$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes39c1,308$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.0241351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes28c1,115$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.277553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes2c1,112$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8713051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes20c1,039$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.42040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes29c990.41$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-63.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Yes16c978.32$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.534445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes29c957.4$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.653743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xced3…10d1backed Yes20c952.04$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c941.56$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.319561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Yes21c907.24$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Yes20c899.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes29c895.17$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.63630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No61c885.78$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.339931.3%31 W · 68 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c863.87$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.6782844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes28c854.29$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.210250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c835.72$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2349566.3%63 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c800$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes43c785.86$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.181233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No51c752.67$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8122553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked No77c689.36$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.31861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c681.18$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.732,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes59c598.37$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.145554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes57c513.6$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes38c504.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.061631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes32c491.59$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.311833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Yes31c482.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.693161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes21c453.62$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2610418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No48c404.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2223957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11275051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes24c397.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4437829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes24c395.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.967936.7%29 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c379.98$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes15c379.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.946926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes40c365.14$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.4498833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed No46c361.9$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.471040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No53c356.9$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.6229038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes29c342.75$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.422446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked No68c324.65$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.451735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No26c322$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.596440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…6a65backed No47c310.9$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No71c303.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3661557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes16c292.25$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7611336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes6c292.15$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes23c275.27$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.985724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes29c264.11$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.592450%12 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Yes38c261.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.973151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No54c255.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.7958548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Yes28c254.44$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Yes60c249$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No49c245.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9120241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes25c238.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.757750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No72c237.86$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No33c234.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8319260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes37c228.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.43933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5eb…93bfbacked Yes62c217.51$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.852161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed No67c216.46$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.494035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes20c216.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c214.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes21c210.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.943751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5715344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Yes29c198.08$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.442839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…c8ffbacked Yes18c191.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes10c184.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4410834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Yes54c179.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.252560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.33842.1%16 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes40c175.45$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.187447.3%35 W · 39 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Yes14c169.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8719555.9%109 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf09b…dee3backed Yes29c165.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4223843.3%103 W · 135 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No72c149.45$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.848672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes48c147.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.538075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.