NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031a6e9d7e3093b3f49d982a36e6a0d2fb1e14441d65546e18fede10496070fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,421 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 43c | 224.95$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 41c | 192.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.04 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 40c | 133.3$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 60c | 133.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 59c | 76.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 37c | 67.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306f…01c7backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 57c | 49.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 59c | 47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 50c | 43.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ce…ed4ebacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 58c | 35.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 57c | 34.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 59c | 34.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Under | 63c | 31.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -14.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 59c | 22.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 61c | 21.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Under | 63c | 20.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…39b7backed Under | 63c | 19.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 79c | 14.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. StarsDevils won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.