NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x119ec340a9774302f2630438c6eec4329efda3154513ce410e572a07aadb6244
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,584 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 4,476$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058.93 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 3,842$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.32 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 3,333$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.18 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 2,692$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.25 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 47c | 1,291$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 35c | 784.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.76 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 54c | 750.32$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 638.65$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 46c | 413.35$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 274.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 258.04$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 40c | 198.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 54c | 191$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d1…5557backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…2ecdbacked Under | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…8401backed Under | 47c | 169$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db5…6340backed Under | 47c | 162$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 159.66$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…4774backed Under | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc090…baedbacked Under | 47c | 135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe691…9e2cbacked Over | 54c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…0192backed Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0c05backed Over | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Over | 52c | 66.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd9…cdddbacked Over | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 47c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…0cafbacked Over | 54c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 52c | 56.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b14…b86fbacked Over | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…00a1backed Over | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 46c | 50.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97e…f441backed Over | 54c | 48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 47c | 44.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…aaafbacked Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4611…5e90backed Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Under | 47c | 34.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9309backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c46…0fe7backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…5d85backed Over | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…94cbbacked Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…5dc7backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f12…ae08backed Over | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 50c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…6117backed Over | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. StarsDevils won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.