MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d1554c56357d9c2a8e6c64f85258c07e78b75bb1adb3147d037a9ab8a479d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 45,204$28,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,359.94 | 1,414 | 49.5%700 W · 714 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 12,753$4,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,034.86 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,078.95 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 5,370$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,305.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 5,244$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.42 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 5,050$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.94 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,768$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.56 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,454$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.02 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,412$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.24 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,393$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.73 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 1,060$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.04 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 687.44$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 665.84$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.44 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 294$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 281.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.81 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 252.47$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 241.13$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 215.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Braves | 37c | 191.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 185.68$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 181$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 146.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 3,219 | 51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L | +148.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…3315backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 145.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 133.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 516 | 46.9%242 W · 274 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 109.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 108.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 105.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…b174backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 95.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 407 | 53.3%217 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Atlanta Braves | 32c | 82.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 77.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 765 | 58%444 W · 321 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Atlanta Braves | 48c | 76.94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 74.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 70.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 2,310 | 52.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 70.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 657 | 49.2%323 W · 334 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 68.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 64.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 64.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 61.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 467 | 59.7%279 W · 188 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 59.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 58.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 53.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…d18fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 453 | 48.6%220 W · 233 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Atlanta Braves | 30c | 48.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.78 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 47.58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 38.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Atlanta Braves | 38c | 37.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 35.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Atlanta Braves | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Atlanta Braves | 37c | 31.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 31.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 22.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.