WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf8da4a124f8228b23a7f73e711d6f1e9cea8e0559c379c42070abb67964a6ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Phoenix Mercury, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 48,489$23,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,278.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 15,000$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -64%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 5,040$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.26 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 4,420$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 2,549$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.02 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 2,390$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 2,108$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Phoenix Mercury | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 1,924$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.57 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,841$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.25 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 1,430$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.64 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Phoenix Mercury | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Seattle Storm | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 386.46$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.54 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…1e15backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 333.43$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 194.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 46c | 145.27$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 143$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Seattle Storm | 46c | 139.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 128$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Seattle Storm | 79c | 119$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 102.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Seattle Storm | 67c | 99.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phoenix Mercury | 57c | 98.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 92.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -11.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 92.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Storm | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…7ab0backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 84.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 71.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 67.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 66.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 65.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 64.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…9bc6backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 52.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Seattle Storm | 47c | 47.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Seattle Storm | 48c | 47.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 46.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 43.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 40.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ca…870dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 39.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 47c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Phoenix Mercury | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 33.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Seattle Storm | 75c | 33.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Seattle Storm | 75c | 33.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…a4d5backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1026…e794backed Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…704abacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Phoenix Mercury | 53c | 33.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Phoenix Mercury | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 29.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 27.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…21f5backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Seattle Storm | 47c | 25.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Seattle Storm | 49c | 23.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Seattle Storm | 49c | 21.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 64cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1216…a8bcbacked Phoenix Mercury | 54c | 21.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-6.5)this page
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle StormPhoenix Mercury won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 160.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 161.5Under won
- Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.