TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Franco Agamenone

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francesco Fortiof Francesco Forti, Franco Agamenone
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,019
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,019 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3695…c66cbacked Franco Agamenone29c13,518$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,940.896549.2%32 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Francesco Forti77c7,243$5,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.754,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Forti68c7,088$4,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,291.848,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Forti63c6,152$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,260.1911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Franco Agamenone28c5,314$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.553,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f8…fe20backed Francesco Forti75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…41f3backed Franco Agamenone48c2,894$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.033129%9 W · 22 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Franco Agamenone37c2,285$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.9917646%81 W · 95 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Forti76c2,041$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.325,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Francesco Forti66c2,000$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.679,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Franco Agamenone51c1,625$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.8752152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Franco Agamenone33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Francesco Forti79c1,232$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.553,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Francesco Forti50c1,199$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.241,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Francesco Forti70c1,119$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.944,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Franco Agamenone21c1,050$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2241,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Franco Agamenone34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34053657.8%310 W · 226 L+35.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Franco Agamenone34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34047651.9%247 W · 229 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd74…00a1backed Franco Agamenone34c985$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9549658.1%288 W · 208 L+32.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb3…f5b0backed Franco Agamenone34c980.01$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.0146957.6%270 W · 199 L+32.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a3e…cd83backed Franco Agamenone34c962.53$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2644552.8%235 W · 210 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Francesco Forti71c862.15$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.321,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Franco Agamenone34c826.13$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.8847857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Franco Agamenone51c782.55$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39922154.8%121 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Franco Agamenone23c752$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.962,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Franco Agamenone25c699.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Franco Agamenone16c631.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1770729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Franco Agamenone20c611.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.728,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Francesco Forti75c570.31$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4391051%464 W · 446 L+23.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Francesco Forti66c540.78$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.523,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Franco Agamenone30c531.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.468,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Francesco Forti66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Franco Agamenone18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x337f…3506backed Franco Agamenone21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f8…badabacked Franco Agamenone25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Francesco Forti61c482.83$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.131,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Franco Agamenone52c377.36$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.231,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Francesco Forti49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.24,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Francesco Forti70c313.78$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Francesco Forti65c304.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.852,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Francesco Forti47c296$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Franco Agamenone51c282.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.261,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked Francesco Forti71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf827…ca4fbacked Francesco Forti53c270.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Francesco Forti76c263$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1222667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Francesco Forti49c253.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2490335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Franco Agamenone52c246.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Franco Agamenone40c241.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.281,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Franco Agamenone27c226.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.399447.9%45 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a0…ec9dbacked Francesco Forti48c206.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.858045.9%266 W · 314 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Franco Agamenone51c197$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.571,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0a2…8613backed Franco Agamenone51c195.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006550.8%33 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x297e…612fbacked Franco Agamenone53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Franco Agamenone54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed0d…3646backed Franco Agamenone56c176.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9215454.5%84 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Francesco Forti56c172.68$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6659253.5%317 W · 275 L+22.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4738…9cfbbacked Francesco Forti49c169$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1935747.9%171 W · 186 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Franco Agamenone32c167.03$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.531,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Franco Agamenone30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe564…1e80backed Franco Agamenone48c159.44$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.536953.6%37 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Francesco Forti68c145.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.591,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Franco Agamenone35c135.94$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.581,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Franco Agamenone26c130.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.554,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Francesco Forti47c129.77$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa43a…1475backed Franco Agamenone33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-71.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Francesco Forti48c114.58$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.582035%7 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Franco Agamenone38c106$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.281526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Franco Agamenone30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305127.5%14 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Franco Agamenone38c93.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.252,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Franco Agamenone36c92.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.961,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf85e…5cd5backed Francesco Forti58c90.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.923268.8%22 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Franco Agamenone33c90$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Franco Agamenone49c89.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.872651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Franco Agamenone26c88.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2330226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Franco Agamenone44c86.36$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3843358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd729…7ef2backed Francesco Forti59c85.69$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.138450%42 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Francesco Forti75c83.45$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4756070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef86…95dcbacked Francesco Forti63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.37580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Francesco Forti70c79.1$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7285742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe011…159fbacked Franco Agamenone27c75.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Franco Agamenone52c73.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0217046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Francesco Forti53c68.42$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1858539.5%231 W · 354 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Francesco Forti76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.126844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Franco Agamenone41c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6570456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Franco Agamenone48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Franco Agamenone29c62.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Franco Agamenone33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.511745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e82…85c9backed Franco Agamenone25c48.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.01911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-72.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18bf…d351backed Franco Agamenone54c45.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.752339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Francesco Forti46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.374955.1%413 W · 336 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Franco Agamenone45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7885…1173backed Francesco Forti63c40.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8916654.8%91 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Franco Agamenone47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89857.1%56 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Franco Agamenone37c39.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.761,10256.5%623 W · 479 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Franco Agamenone53c39.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8145751%233 W · 224 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13cc…962bbacked Francesco Forti57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.094746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Francesco Forti47c34.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4896945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Francesco Forti64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.254266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Francesco Forti63c30.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.222,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe89c…9c72backed Francesco Forti73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.143054.9%236 W · 194 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.