La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7313ef7f8ee13603355872b5e985d614c5aa0c2a00d201aeb24a121bb35b7d7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $454,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 14c | 75,399$10,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,555.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 13c | 34,906$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.08 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 15c | 34,061$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.46 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 15c | 30,132$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.77 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 16c | 29,117$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.8 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 15c | 24,400$3,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,659.96 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 15c | 16,373$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.45 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 15c | 15,000$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 9,993$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.81 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 15c | 9,344$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 14c | 7,150$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.86 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 15c | 6,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.98 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 13c | 5,461$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.48 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 14c | 5,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 14c | 3,848$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.21 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 7c | 1,839$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 1,800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 1,500$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.28 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 80c | 1,472$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a4…1d88backed No | 16c | 1,250$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed No | 2c | 1,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 16c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 19c | 634.96$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 621.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 15c | 590$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed No | 15c | 499.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 16c | 499.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…303ebacked No | 17c | 480$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 16c | 445.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 16c | 437.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 18c | 391.1$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.23 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 16c | 371.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 15c | 267.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…2194backed No | 16c | 245$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 21cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…fcedbacked No | 17c | 205.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 18c | 195.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 6c | 180$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 12c | 177.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 149.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 16c | 121.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…b129backed No | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…0b40backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 13c | 96.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 16c | 93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…b74bbacked No | 17c | 84.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 75.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…ba65backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-01?this page
- Will Real Madrid vs. Valencia end in a draw?No won
- Will Valencia win on 2025-11-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.