College Football · resolved market
Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x991fdd8236ba68e990b1199c60045dd84d3e2d21098b4d7feb451da2bab9025e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentuckyof Delaware Blue Hens, Western Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Western Kentucky | 59c | 24,794$14,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,283.92 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 8,678$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.62 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 8,590$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.9 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 1,050$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 890$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 852.03$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.75 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 750$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 43c | 655.35$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.98 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 646.78$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.18 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 350$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Delaware Blue Hens | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Western Kentucky | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Western Kentucky | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Western Kentucky | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Delaware Blue Hens | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…f22bbacked Western Kentucky | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-3.5)this page
- O/U 62.5Under won
- Spread: Delaware Blue Hens (-2.5)Western Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue HensWestern Kentucky won
- Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hens: O/U 61.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.