CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc49f1d8cad1226b45b1bd31f3c9161d26505acfaf96f7c2a3b1c9e0df17d305b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STATEof STATE, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 840.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.94 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 469.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.8 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…c6dabacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 402.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked STATE | 67c | 373.5$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 288.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 265.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.89 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked STATE | 68c | 230$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad43…1a69backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 219.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 210.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STATE | 69c | 202.56$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed STATE | 73c | 183.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked STATE | 77c | 171.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed STATE | 74c | 147.54$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked STATE | 80c | 137.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 135.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed STATE | 64c | 133.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.35 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 130.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 125.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked STATE | 63c | 108.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked STATE | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 95.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 21c | 93.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d9…30debacked Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 90.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed STATE | 59c | 87.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed STATE | 62c | 85.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed STATE | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 76.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10c5…6858backed STATE | 69c | 73.57$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42db…3816backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 72.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked STATE | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked STATE | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 57.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked STATE | 63c | 57.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed STATE | 72c | 51.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…10c2backed STATE | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 46.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…ece7backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 37.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked STATE | 76c | 37.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b21…07d7backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 34.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 358 | 41.6%149 W · 209 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 33.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed STATE | 67c | 32.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked STATE | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked STATE | 64c | 26.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked STATE | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed STATE | 73c | 24.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed STATE | 67c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked STATE | 57c | 17.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…9010backed STATE | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed STATE | 79c | 13.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: STATE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.