Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Drake Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5895dd31a10f3b17660de5f139b459a9fe251c01907a8f77b9980195ae0abcda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Indiana State Sycamores, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 50c | 3,130$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.78 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Drake Bulldogs | 58c | 2,147$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.29 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 1,391$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.29 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 45c | 1,009$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.91 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs | 63c | 904.25$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 35c | 596.43$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.75 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Indiana State Sycamores | 20c | 468.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 456.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.18 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Drake Bulldogs | 76c | 436.61$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 426.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.26 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 344.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.33 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 24c | 322.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Drake Bulldogs | 54c | 288.3$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Indiana State Sycamores | 27c | 221.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Indiana State Sycamores | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…6f4abacked Indiana State Sycamores | 66c | 122.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Drake Bulldogs | 71c | 88.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Drake Bulldogs | 52c | 50.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0d…5087backed Indiana State Sycamores | 38c | 39.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 54cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Drake Bulldogs | 38c | 33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 68c | 27.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Drake Bulldogs | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Drake Bulldogs | 62c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Drake Bulldogsthis page
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 145.5Over won
- Indiana State Sycamores vs. Drake Bulldogs: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Drake Bulldogs (-5.5)Indiana State Sycamores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.