CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs regain (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f9726a8e8a10f7f9c719f0ee99f78cab86c2afe42cf0f4abb88d583a216d05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed regain | 10c | 10,374$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.36 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed regain | 0c | 7,431$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed regain | 3c | 1,634$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed regain | 7c | 1,200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed regain | 9c | 1,114$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed regain | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed regain | 3c | 941.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked regain | 7c | 887.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed regain | 8c | 361.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed regain | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…520cbacked regain | 9c | 263.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed regain | 8c | 254.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed regain | 9c | 165.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked regain | 9c | 149.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed regain | 11c | 117.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs regain (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs regain - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.