CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs los kogutos (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x266aa2a14738470d1db4edc9239eb2290543a7ff51db1ff8a49d07a5d4b8938e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed los kogutos | 1c | 3,739$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bebop | 72c | 2,570$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.49 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…567dbacked los kogutos | 39c | 2,271$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…5c4fbacked Bebop | 61c | 1,852$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed los kogutos | 26c | 1,284$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.24 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked los kogutos | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…22b0backed los kogutos | 37c | 677$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…09e1backed los kogutos | 37c | 659$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Bebop | 60c | 636.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.99 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed los kogutos | 5c | 628.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked los kogutos | 36c | 459.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Bebop | 63c | 456$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…4682backed Bebop | 63c | 450$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…67ebbacked los kogutos | 45c | 449.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…2fccbacked Bebop | 61c | 424$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked los kogutos | 38c | 340.51$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.91 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed los kogutos | 11c | 299.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed los kogutos | 32c | 284.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.7 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Bebop | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…1a78backed Bebop | 63c | 221$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked Bebop | 63c | 209$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…b227backed los kogutos | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked los kogutos | 6c | 180$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 110 | 2.7%3 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Bebop | 61c | 143$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed los kogutos | 25c | 102.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Bebop | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked los kogutos | 38c | 96.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Bebop | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0691…3fe4backed los kogutos | 48c | 76.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Bebop | 62c | 69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Bebop | 62c | 68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…c7f6backed los kogutos | 43c | 67.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Bebop | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…dc70backed los kogutos | 54c | 51.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed los kogutos | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed los kogutos | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed los kogutos | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Bebop | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked los kogutos | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked los kogutos | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked los kogutos | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed los kogutos | 38c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked los kogutos | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked los kogutos | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked los kogutos | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 59c | 34.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked los kogutos | 37c | 33.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked los kogutos | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked los kogutos | 39c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked los kogutos | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked los kogutos | 39c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed los kogutos | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked los kogutos | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Bebop | 59c | 25.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Bebop | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked Bebop | 63c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs los kogutos (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs los kogutos - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.