Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbff6e0a1064469a4e4039d18cf5aae1080b5b3d290cca755f6f7666f48a35c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 50c | 4,816$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.33 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Under | 49c | 4,588$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.1 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 4,530$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 40c | 3,163$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.71 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 3,103$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.55 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 2,981$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Under | 48c | 1,918$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 1,629$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 48c | 1,453$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0b09backed Over | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 53c | 1,029$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Over | 55c | 995.42$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 968.42$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 45c | 664.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 48c | 599.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 567.98$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.03 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 45c | 517.99$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 490.22$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 52c | 437.21$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.35 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Over | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 45c | 229.43$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 206.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 36c | 138.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 51c | 131.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 122.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 35c | 110.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 88.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Over | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 46c | 66.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 51c | 64.84$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…7c93backed Over | 41c | 51.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 51c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d95…2342backed Over | 54c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 57c | 36.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 74c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Under | 66c | 35.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked Over | 36c | 33.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 44c | 23.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Under | 66c | 22.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 58c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)NAC Breda won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.