Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6595c21798bf93f39da859a469a01ef11bc0038488512dc5fbbe89245d62fc24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Over | 47c | 1,688$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.03 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 33c | 1,498$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.42 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 49c | 1,370$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.7 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,272$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 61c | 965.8$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.15 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 594.34$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.59 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 13c | 435.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa3…60b9backed Over | 59c | 425.05$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked Under | 10c | 415.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 374$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.9 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 23c | 346.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.06 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 66c | 328.1$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Over | 52c | 323$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 243.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 21c | 233.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 230.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Under | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 175$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Under | 23c | 174.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 64c | 164.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.83 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 78c | 164$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 62c | 136.65$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 28c | 122.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 49c | 101.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Over | 25c | 99.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 45c | 80.44$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Under | 51c | 79.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked Over | 70c | 71.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf9…1646backed Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…d917backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 59.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Under | 33c | 44.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Over | 56c | 30.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 38c | 29.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 44c | 27.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…9944backed Under | 47c | 26.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…2044backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…3235backed Over | 65c | 20.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 70c | 19.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Over | 77c | 17.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 70c | 14.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 1.5this page
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fortuna Sittard vs. NAC Breda: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Fortuna Sittard (-1.5)NAC Breda won
- Spread: NAC Breda (-2.5)Fortuna Sittard won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.