TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: NAC Breda (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Fortuna Sittardof NAC Breda, Fortuna Sittard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,654 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5926…a9debacked NAC Breda3c666.67$20 inLost-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x453d…d110backed Fortuna Sittard79c277.28$219 inWon+$58.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d4…3f2abacked Fortuna Sittard52c276.75$144 inWon+$132.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed Fortuna Sittard52c274.02$142 inWon+$131.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x619a…ff81backed Fortuna Sittard79c274$216 inWon+$57.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce04…f72ebacked Fortuna Sittard79c274$216 inWon+$57.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x608d…ad99backed Fortuna Sittard52c271.89$141 inWon+$130.512100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab82…c156backed Fortuna Sittard52c271.84$141 inWon+$130.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2a…ce7fbacked Fortuna Sittard52c271.54$141 inWon+$130.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732b…0d38backed Fortuna Sittard79c269.79$213 inWon+$56.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f3…504fbacked Fortuna Sittard79c269.55$213 inWon+$56.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…ef9ebacked Fortuna Sittard52c268.54$140 inWon+$128.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2e…fd0bbacked Fortuna Sittard79c268.28$212 inWon+$56.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…1003backed Fortuna Sittard79c267$211 inWon+$56.07366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffde…2838backed Fortuna Sittard52c265.18$138 inWon+$127.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9c…467dbacked Fortuna Sittard79c264.76$209 inWon+$55.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…4ba4backed Fortuna Sittard52c264.68$138 inWon+$127.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a4d…7ca5backed Fortuna Sittard52c263.11$137 inWon+$126.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x555a…8792backed Fortuna Sittard79c262.45$207 inWon+$55.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90da…3768backed Fortuna Sittard52c262.36$136 inWon+$125.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa908…d716backed Fortuna Sittard79c262.32$207 inWon+$55.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked NAC Breda9c166$15 inLost-$14.9413528.9%39 W · 96 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.