Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27d2b70a89574efc970efe9813bd6be4fccc3cf6040ac023e15deb99ce53bea9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42d5…dc75backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 32c | 774.78$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked No | 75c | 655$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…2842backed Yes | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 34c | 430$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e7…9acdbacked No | 66c | 420$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1a2dbacked No | 65c | 360$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 63c | 350.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed Yes | 34c | 340$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked No | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…b462backed No | 76c | 305$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07ddbacked Yes | 25c | 305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…d8a5backed No | 75c | 290$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +135.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…9281backed No | 65c | 260$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…7156backed Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…0299backed Yes | 25c | 215$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef90…da0ebacked No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 70c | 180.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…fe7bbacked Yes | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa424…ce91backed No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b5…b437backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…1994backed Yes | 35c | 135$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d6…488abacked No | 76c | 115$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927a…cbacbacked No | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c60…e152backed Yes | 35c | 105$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…76e5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…88afbacked Yes | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c72…85e7backed Yes | 37c | 80.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…6a00backed No | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 71.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc1…bfedbacked Yes | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…2638backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…11e7backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…9e22backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…1e9abacked Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5a…25f3backed No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…4f30backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…071ebacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…28d5backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2861…b1a7backed Yes | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed No | 67c | 33.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…c7dcbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0f…7b8abacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd6…48c1backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…1f1bbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…a2b0backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…262bbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…c256backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac0…c560backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bolivia beat Uruguay?this page
- Will Bolivia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.