NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89018f9d30aa7c198699ed174d268985f6f4b03be414e81261a9191f9eb3c747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Blues, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Avalanche | 60c | 56,800$34,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,205.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Blues | 52c | 33,623$17,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,225.68 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 26,000$16,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,759.99 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Blues | 36c | 25,141$9,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,070.06 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 41c | 21,378$8,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,655.98 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Blues | 36c | 14,009$5,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,960.06 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blues | 36c | 13,208$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,453.12 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blues | 36c | 6,666$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,265.97 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Avalanche | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Blues | 37c | 4,083$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Blues | 36c | 3,343$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.58 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Blues | 35c | 2,570$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,543$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.35 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blues | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.95 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Blues | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Avalanche | 64c | 2,120$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.9 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,997$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.05 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Blues | 35c | 1,997$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blues | 36c | 1,931$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.77 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4345…77fabacked Avalanche | 65c | 1,924$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.89 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36db…9fd7backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,528$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.73 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,525$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.55 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Avalanche | 28c | 1,507$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.64 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche | 27c | 1,470$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,433$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,429$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.98 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…c45cbacked Blues | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Blues | 37c | 1,159$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd7…1778backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,106$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.32 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Blues | 36c | 1,065$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.78 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,030$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.99 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…b99abacked Avalanche | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Avalanche | 10c | 905.4$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.54 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Avalanche | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 64c | 770.59$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.73 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 62c | 723.94$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.36 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 63c | 600.06$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.32 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Avalanche | 66c | 570.55$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.56 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 63c | 531.8$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 470$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Avalanche | 65c | 452.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Avalanche | 58c | 436.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.87 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 376$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 333$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Blues | 51c | 287.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.42 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Avalanche | 18c | 278.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blues | 35c | 244.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Blues | 43c | 232.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Avalanche | 66c | 222$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Avalanche | 60c | 215.61$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Avalanche | 64c | 189.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Avalanche | 6c | 183.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche | 64c | 177.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Blues | 39c | 176.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.92 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 65c | 167.41$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…a78fbacked Blues | 36c | 156.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche | 64c | 155.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…d962backed Avalanche | 66c | 154.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…da41backed Avalanche | 66c | 152.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Avalanche | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 417 | 57.3%239 W · 178 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Avalanche | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Avalanche | 66c | 134.32$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…78e6backed Blues | 36c | 126$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…1387backed Blues | 36c | 106.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.28 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Avalanche | 66c | 104.55$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db4…f62abacked Avalanche | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Blues | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Blues | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blues | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Avalanche | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29cd…15c4backed Blues | 35c | 98.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Avalanche | 58c | 97.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…452dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 92.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…f594backed Blues | 36c | 91.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche | 64c | 91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…41b0backed Blues | 35c | 89.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Avalanche | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…9eb6backed Avalanche | 65c | 85.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 61c | 85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85cd…febebacked Avalanche | 66c | 84.62$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Avalanche | 60c | 84.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Avalanche | 64c | 78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Avalanche | 65c | 76.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Avalanche | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…fbc7backed Blues | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 34c | 74.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Avalanche | 60c | 68.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Avalanche | 64c | 66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Avalanche | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Avalanche | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Avalanche | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Avalanche | 37c | 54.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues | 35c | 52.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…4356backed Avalanche | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…bfdabacked Blues | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.